Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226043           4          36          48          12           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000874280           4          38          49           9           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   1.89252e-07           6          46          40           8           0        B9.6
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             5.50       43.50       42.50        8.50        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4