Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222804           4          48          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000847375           4          52          36           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   1.69804e-07          11          53          30           6           0        B7.5
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             6.25       49.25       37.50        6.75        0.25     B8.8
 
realized                                                                                      B5.4