Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225441           6          46          41           7           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000843413           6          52          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   1.99837e-07           3          46          46           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.00       45.00       43.25        6.25        0.50     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0