Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230705           4          19          57          18           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000907958           3          28          51          15           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   2.82973e-07           2          27          64           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.75       29.50       53.75       11.50        1.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.7