Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224027           5          50          40           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000853180           7          51          36           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   1.46740e-07          12          62          25           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       14.0000          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            10.50       56.75       29.25        3.50        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B9.2