Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226516           3          37          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903656           3          29          50          15           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   2.19929e-07           2          42          51           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             5.25       41.25       43.75        9.00        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3