Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227731           3          34          53          10           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000908420           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   2.39690e-07           3          32          55          10           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             3.25       29.25       55.00       11.25        1.25     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8