Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242548           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104971           3           8          66          16           7        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   6.99429e-07           1           0          55          37           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.25        3.25       62.50       27.00        6.00     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      X5.4