Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232614           2          16          61          19           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936006           1          23          49          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   4.93188e-07           3           1          62          33           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.75       13.00       57.00       25.50        1.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M2.8