Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223773           5          47          43           5           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860809           7          47          36          10           0        B9.2
GOES Xray  =   1.92644e-07           6          44          43           7           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             5.50       37.00       46.25       10.75        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3