Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225434           6          44          43           7           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883728           1          35          53          11           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   1.76000e-07          10          46          37           7           0        B8.9
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             5.00       33.00       50.75       11.00        0.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0