Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224347           5          51          39           5           0        B7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861100           7          45          39           9           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.56000e-07          10          61          25           4           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             6.50       41.75       41.50        9.75        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7