Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225729           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000873919           3          38          49          10           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   2.28000e-07           4          36          52           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             4.25       32.75       50.75       11.75        0.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3