Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228984           2          24          62          11           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000931126           1          21          52          24           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.54000e-07           2          34          55           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.50       20.75       58.50       17.50        1.75     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C7.7