Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230264           1          20          59          17           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000970292           3          17          54          21           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   2.19000e-07           2          44          48           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.50       21.25       57.25       17.50        2.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2