Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226533           2          37          48          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000929904           1          20          52          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   1.56000e-07          10          61          25           4           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             4.50       38.50       43.75       12.00        1.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2