Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224805           5          46          45           4           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000894158           2          34          49          13           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   1.04000e-07           7          58          32           3           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       19.0000          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                             7.25       49.25       37.25        5.75        0.50     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7