Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242054           1           2          64          27           6        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107594           2           4          72          20           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   4.98000e-07           2           1          63          34           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       104.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.25        2.25       66.00       27.50        3.00     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4