Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244029           1           1          63          33           2        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111273           3           4          62          28           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.97000e-07           2           1          62          35           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.50        1.75       65.50       29.00        2.25     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0