Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243968           1           1          63          33           2        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112807           1           5          61          30           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.94000e-07           3           1          61          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.50        2.25       62.00       31.25        3.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7