Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234257           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100247           2          12          64          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.54000e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.6
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.25        7.75       66.00       21.25        2.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7