Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235680           3          12          57          25           3        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100027           2          12          64          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.82000e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.75        9.00       67.00       20.25        2.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0