Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232265           3          16          59          20           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000972003           3          17          55          21           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   2.95000e-07           3          22          66           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             2.25       15.25       62.00       18.50        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9