Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242365           1           1          61          31           6        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107283           3           4          72          18           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.51000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.7
est. ISN   =       63.0000           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.00        4.50       65.25       24.50        3.75     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4