Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237405           2           9          65          20           4        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100843           2          12          65          18           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   4.66000e-07           2           1          77          19           1        C4.7
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.50        7.00       68.75       20.25        2.50     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M5.7