Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236532           2          14          58          21           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000998244           2          13          61          20           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   5.01000e-07           2           1          61          35           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.75        8.00       61.25       25.50        3.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1