Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235976           2          13          57          24           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106168           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   3.63000e-07           2           5          74          19           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.00        9.00       65.00       20.00        3.00     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9