Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232168           3          15          59          21           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000987316           4          14          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.09000e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             3.00       15.00       64.00       16.00        2.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7