Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242821           1           0          65          30           4        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109369           4           3          72          20           1        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   4.88000e-07           2           1          65          31           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             2.50        4.00       65.00       26.50        2.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5