Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240558           1           6          63          23           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111105           3           4          61          29           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.06000e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       116.000           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             1.00        3.25       63.25       28.00        4.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3