Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240653           1           6          62          24           7        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107316           3           4          73          17           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.95000e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       106.000           1           1          63          28           7        C6.9
 
together                             1.50        3.50       68.50       22.00        4.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2