Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241176           1           5          64          24           6        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108775           3           3          71          20           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.57000e-07           2           1          80          16           1        C4.1
est. ISN   =       107.000           1           0          60          32           7        C8.2
 
together                             1.50        2.50       68.75       23.00        4.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1