Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245205           1           2          61          36           0        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114575           1           4          65          27           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.64000e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        4.75       63.50       29.00        2.00     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C7.7