Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245044           1           2          61          35           1        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116821           1           1          63          31           4        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   4.39000e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             0.75        3.50       65.50       28.00        2.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9