Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247490           1           4          51          39           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119324           1           2          62          33           2        C5.6
GOES Xray  =   5.27000e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.25        1.50       63.00       30.50        3.75     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5