Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247784           1           2          54          36           7        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119613           1           3          63          31           2        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   5.37000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        2.50       62.50       29.75        4.25     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1