Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250861           3           3          69          21           4        C5.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118666           1           1          61          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   7.40000e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.9
est. ISN   =       86.0000           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        1.00       60.25       32.00        5.25     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9