Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238993           2           4          69          19           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103121           1          14          64          14           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   4.19000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       74.0000           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.00        7.00       67.50       20.00        4.50     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4