Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233698           4          12          64          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000990880           3          13          61          18           5        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   2.93000e-07           3          24          65           8           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.25       25.25       55.25       13.25        2.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2