Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232838           1          15          63          19           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000969764           3          18          54          20           5        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   2.92000e-07           3          25          64           8           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       21.0000          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.75       27.50       53.50       12.50        1.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1