Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224459           5          51          39           5           0        B7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820819           7          43          42           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   1.94000e-07           5          46          43           6           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.00       48.75       39.00        6.25        0.00     B8.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3