Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235125           5          11          57          23           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000938140           1          17          52          27           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.83000e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =       73.0000           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.75       10.00       60.50       25.00        2.75     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6