Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00281422           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139172           1           1          61          32           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.12000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       86.0000           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        0.75       50.75       39.50        8.25     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      M6.1