Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00270542           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00130349           1           0          64          31           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.54000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.00        0.25       54.25       37.25        7.25     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1