Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263010           1           1          60          34           4        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118864           1           1          61          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.41000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             1.00        0.50       52.75       39.00        6.75     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.6