Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00273572           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00135122           1           1          59          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.45000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        1.75       51.25       37.75        8.25     C8.8
 
realized                                                                                      M6.9