Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00259715           1           2          62          33           2        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123037           2           2          62          31           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   9.32000e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             0.75        2.25       57.50       35.00        4.50     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0