Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244968           1           2          60          36           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102598           2          15          63          15           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   6.06000e-07           1           0          63          33           3        C6.9
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             0.75        5.75       63.00       27.00        3.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8