Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255508           1           3          63          32           1        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111555           3           4          62          29           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   9.65000e-07           1           0          38          50          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.50        7.00       56.25       31.50        3.75     C6.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7