Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240120           1           6          64          22           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960843           3          17          56          21           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   5.68000e-07           1           0          69          26           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             2.50       18.25       56.75       19.00        3.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5